0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377… , … , …
A random set of numbers?
It’s the Fibonacci series.
How is it derived?
Start with 0 and 1, and just keep adding a number to the one on its right to get the next number, and so on and so forth.
What’s so peculiar about this series?
As we keep moving from left to right, the result of dividing any number by the one on it’s immediate right starts converging towards 0.62.
Also, as we keep moving from left to right, the result of dividing any number by the second number on its right starts converging towards 0.38.
The series starts with a 0.
Another number to note is 0.5.
So, in a nutshell, these are the important figures to note, which this series generates: 0, 0.38, 0.5, 0.62. There are more, but these are the most important ones.
I’ve always wondered why the 0.5 is important. Actually, “half-way” is big with mankind.
What’s the significance of this series?
In any activity involving a large number of units, these Fibonacci ratios are said to be observed.
It is said that crowds behave as per these ratios.
It is said, that for example when many leaves fall from a tree over a long period of time, a Fibonacci pattern can be determined in their falling.
It is said that these ratios are ingrained in nature.
True or false?
What I do know is that the trading fraternity has taken these numbers to heart, and looks for Fibonacci levels in anything and everything. Most commonly, entry into a sizzling stock is planned after the stock has corrected past a Fibonacci level and has once again started to rise.
In simpler terms, aggressive traders who buy on dips will look for a 38% correction of pivot to peak before entering.
Less aggressive traders will wait for a 50% correction and then enter upon the rise of the underlying.
Traders who like to value-buy will wait for a 62% correction, which might or might not come.
If the underlying goes on correcting past 62%, it is best left alone, because the correction can well continue beyond 0, the starting point of the prior rise.
A current example where you’ll most definitely see Fibonacci ratios in action is with Gold.
The million dollar question I have been hearing around me today is when to enter Gold now, especially because it is correcting heavily.
The immediate answer for me would be to enter at a Fibonacci level of correction.
That depends upon your risk profile.