Yeps, Taleb’s the famous one.
Moi, je ne suis pas célèbre.
Néanmoins, j’aime le terme “antifragile” de Taleb.
Also, Taleb has termed equity as robust.
I do equity.
I’d like my interaction and future with equity to be antifragile.
Let’s first look at Taleb’s definition for antifragile.
He says that anything that has more upside than downside from random events (or certain shocks), is antifragile; the reverse is fragile.
Robust equity will eventually crack when subjected to shock.
We are aware of that.
What do we do now?
Firstly, we take time, and put it in infinity mode. Meaning, that we stay invested, for a long, long, long time.
We’re now allowing equity amply sufficient time to recover from not one shock, but many shocks.
Also, each time there is a shock, and equity tanks, we go in and buy some more.
How can we do this?
We are sufficiently liquid, all the time.
Our small entry quantum approach is ensuring that.
Also, we’ve chosen such equity first-up that is minimally susceptible to cracking. That’s the best we can do.
We have either avoided debt altogether or chosen debt-levels that are adding value to the stock and can be easily taken care of in the short-term.
We have chosen equity with decent quick and current ratios.
We have chosen adaptable managements that function as optimal human capital, fighting inflation, showering shareholder-friendliness and adding value at all times.
However, crack they do, eventually, and we keep picking up more.
Since we’ve kept ourselves “infinitely” liquid as per our small entry quantum approach, we are then also “infinitely”poised to benefit from the cracks.
As we keep getting more and more opportunities to buy with meaningful margins of safety, markets show us more upside than downside.
Thus, antifragility comes to us as a function of falling price, given that the underlying has sound fundamentals, low to nil debt and benevolent, versatile and diligent management.
Now, let the shocks come.
In fact, let 20 shocks come.
We want shocks to come…
…so that we can continue to buy at rock-bottom prices, which work in an antifragile manner for us, because of the characteristics of the equity and management we have chosen.
Profiting from shocks?
More upside than downside? Owing to the effects of a shock?
What kind of behaviour is that?
That’s antifragile behaviour.