Taleb’s term “antifragile” is here to stay.
If my understanding is correct, an asset class that shows more upside than downside upon the onset of shock in this age of shocks – is termed as antifragile.
So what’s going to happen to us Equity people?
Is Equity a fragile asset class?
Let’s turn above question upon its head.
What about our approach?
Yes, our approach can make Equity antifragile for us.
We don’t need to pack our bags and switch to another asset class.
We just approach Equity in an antifragile fashion. Period.
Well, aren’t we already? Margin of safety and all that.
Sure. We’ll just refine what we’ve already got, add a bit of stuff, and come out with the antifragile strategy.
Applicability to the times.
Blah blah blah.
You’ve done all your research.
You’ve found a plum stock.
You’re getting margin of safety.
You don’t enter with a bang.
You enter at various times, again and again, in small quanta.
What are these times?
You enter in the aftermath of shocks.
There will be many shocks.
This is the age of shocks.
You enter when the stock is at its antifragile-most. For that time period. It is showing maximal upside. Minimal downside. Fundamentals are plum. Shock’s beaten it down. You enter, slightly. Put yourself in a position to enter many, many times, over many years, upon shock after shock. This automatically means that entry quantum is small. This also means you’re doing an SIP where the S stands for your own system (with the I being for investment and the P for plan).
Now let’s fine-fine-tune.
Don’t put more than 0.5% of your networth into any one stock, ever. Adjust this figure for yourself. Then adjust entry quantum for yourself.
Don’t enter into more than 20-30 stocks. Again, adjust to comfort level.
If you’re full up, and something comes along which you need to enter at all costs, discard a stock you’re liking the least.
Have your focus-diversified portfolio (FDP) going on the side, apart from Equity.
Congratulations, you just made Equity antifragile for yourself.