You knew that too, right?
Going contrarian is a buzz-phrase.
We hear it again and again…
… till we begin to start thinking…
… that we know what it means.
Well, try going contrarian.
Yeah, try actually doing it.
You’ll see what I mean.
It’s real hard.
Going against the crowd takes all the strength you might have…
… and then some.
Most humans aren’t able to go contrarian.
Most humans aren’t wealthy.
When there’s blood on the streets, there’s no telling how much more there will be.
Under such conditions, the contrarian investor lets go of his or her hard-earned money into an investment, knowing perfectly well that the Street might even value the investment tomorrow at a huge discount to today’s price.
That’s ok too, says he or she.
Because homework’s been done.
Underlying is strong.
Management is stellar.
Balance-sheet is robust.
Projections are paramount.
That the world is pricing the investment wrongly is a problem with its vision.
Underlying is not going under. With above credentials, this alone matters.
Times change. Vision of the majority changes. Investor makes a killing. Cashes out some, principal and what have you. Leaves lots of free-standing shares… forever… or till parameters change.
Wealth-generators repeat this behaviour-pattern many times in their lives.
They’re not afraid of going against the grain.
They know otherwise.
Also, the money they use has been freed up.
Its being out of action for a long time is not going to change their lives even a bit.
They will have the last laugh.
Wealth is the reward of going contrarian.
What’s your market footprint like?
Meaning, where do you tread?
How do you tread?
Are you making a hash of it?
Do you connect the dots?
Are you organized?
Does your one action span across multiple goals?
What exactly are we talking about?
You are your own light.
Nobody can help you, except you, ultimately.
Therefore, gear yourself up, to win the game for yourself.
It possibly won’t come to exist, that you do one market thing.
Market activity is multi-faceted.
Even if you’re trading one single entity, there are many actions that go along with this one single activity.
Yes, we’re talking about market actions.
The sum total of your market actions is your market footprint.
Make your actions additive.
Each action should add to you.
If an action is not adding to you, don’t do it.
Even an action that stops further loss adds to you, for example.
Also, make your actions connect across segments.
Let’s say I’m eyeing a stock for a possible purchase, or a repurchase. Stock gaps down next morning, before my action. Aha. Hold. 60-70% of all gap-downs play out further. There’s a solid reason for gap-downs. So… hold. Yeah, action on hold. Why? I will possibly get a better price for reentry later, there’s a 60-70% chance of that. Thus, an action now won’t add to me. Action postponed. What do I do with the money set aside for the repurchase? Liquid mutual fund purchase. Online. Seamless. Connecting across? Absolutely. I’m simultaneously accumulating liquid funds to later go in for a private-placement NCD. Therefore, my one action from the equity segment has connected across to the debt segment. Yeah, connectivity. Additive. Stopped me from possible high entry. Made upcoming NCD purchase more possible by adding to its intended corpus. Additive Connectivity.
Yeah, make yours a winning footprint.
Before signing off, I’d like to share with you that i’ve just decided to take additive connectivity to the nth level for myself.
Sure, I’ll be sharing more examples.
Sharing brings joy to everyone, even to the person who is sharing.
I’m more into focus.
One can focus on one thing at a time.
What if after that one thing starts running, it doesn’t require any more focus?
Then I focus on another thing.
Get it running.
Till my focus window is full.
Let me tell you about my focus window.
I focus on cash, debt, equity, forex, gold, real-estate, arbitrage, and options.
With that, my professional focus in finance is full full full.
I get something running.
Then I don’t need to be with it. Mostly.
Let me run you through.
1). Cash – Bind it in a worry-free and accessible manner. Done.
2). Debt – Study the underlying very thoroughly. Reject 10 underlyings. Take up the 11th which passes all criteria. Be happy with a slightly better than FD-return. Done.
3). Equity – Invest for life. Study till you drop the stock or take it up. Only invest in what meets all criteria and offers margin of safety at time of investing. On top of that – SIP (systematic investment plan). Done.
4). Forex – Get a software robot to trade it for you. Or some human-capital. All available online. Requires a bit of fine-tuning. Keep tuning till you start making a return. Done.
5). Gold – Buy physical gold. Research your source. Needs to be impeccable. Bullion. Coins. SIP. Accessible. No jewellery. Done.
6). Real-estate – Make your real-estate yield you an income. Regular income? Done.
7). Arbitrage – Understand what this is, and why it gives you a tax benefit. Get an online MF account going with Kotak MF or DWS. Divert some funds into their arbitrage MF, either or. I prefer Kotak. Monthly dividend payout option. Done.
8). Options – Get the option-strategy going. You don’t require a desktop. Mobile is sufficient. All you now need to do is take care of square-off. On mobile. This means a slightly higher level of engagement than the above avenues. Only slightly. Are you ok with that? Fine. Done.
In a flow, it’s all doable.
And, you remain focused.
Why all this?
Times demand it. You never know what might come in handy, and when.
Yeah, times are tough.
However, you are tougher.
To use Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s terminology, you are antifragile.
Looking around for an opportunity?
Or letting one come?
Does it matter?
Is there a difference?
When you’re looking around, you could be in a hurry. You want to get it over and done with.
You are vulnerable.
Entry price will be expensive.
Your adversary feels your anxiety and jacks up entry level.
Quality? What quality? You’re in a hurry, right?
Hurry spoils the curry.
Let the investment come to you.
Brokers are restless. They want to sell. They’ll knock at your doorstep once they know your funds situation. And, believe me, they won’t ask you about your funds situation. They’ll ask your banker. In fact, your banker could well be on retainer. He’ll make sure that high quality info ups his retainer fee. That’s how it works today. Don’t believe me? How come so many people have your cell number? Did you give it to them? No? Information is a commodity. It can be bought for a price.
Block your surplus funds as fixed deposits.
Get an overdraft going for one fixed deposit.
Delve into your normal activities.
Now you’re sitting pretty.
An opportunity comes.
It’s cr*p. Broker’s hoping you’ll bite into the nonsense being sold.
You tell the broker to buzz off. Lack of hurry gives you the clarity required to act like this.
Something lucrative comes along. Price is right. You overdraft on your FD. Yeah, it’s ok to pay the price for quality with margin of safety.
You can always fill in the overdrafted amount as new funds accumulate. The nominal interest paid for ODing is called opportunity fees. It’s chicken-feed. Just forget about it.
The best investments in life are worth waiting for.
There are some up days…
…and there are some down days.
Could be because of anything.
On down days you need to hold on to something(s).
These provide anchor.
You wedge yourself into something, and are not swept away.
There’s right diet. Leads to good health. You make sure your diet doesn’t stray on a down day. It is likely to if you don’t watch out for its deviation attempt.
Exercise. Get moving. Alone the hormones secreted during exercise should make you feel better.
If your down day is not because of professional issues, get professional (baby)! Meaning, use your profession as an anchor. Dive into it. Deeply. Forget about time.
Look after the well-being of someone you care about.
Pursue something extra-curricular. Again, dive into it.
Travel, if you can.
You can fill in the blanks.
I’ve set up a very basic list.
We’re very basic here.
We don’t believe in sophistication.
We break life down to basics.
We keep things simple.
So, what does the anchor do?
Yes, it stops you from being swept away. Your anchor gives you stability and solidity.
Then, your anchor consumes you. You lose track of time.
What was time, – oh ya – a healer. As time passes, you forget the issue, or the issue dissolves, or dilutes.
You wake up on another day, refreshed, and join the battle where you left off. Issue seems smaller. Your forces are replenished. You fight. You win.
Never forget your anchors. Have them ready. Anytime. Any place.
You don’t have to be. And good that you’ve recognized it.
Mood sets the tone for success… or failure.
For example, just now, I’m not in the mood to conduct due-diligence. There’s one company which has sparked my interest, a few days ago. Work needs to be done, to decide whether I’m investing or am out. Quality of work needs to be of the highest order. Otherwise I might take a wrong decision, meaning that I might invest in a dud, or might reject a multibagger. And what happens? I’m not in the mood to conduct any kind of due diligence. For whatever reason. What’s to be done?
I just don’t conduct it.
What if the opportunity goes away?
So be it. Another will come along. When? Whenever. World is full of opportunities.
Why am I so pricy about my behaviour?
Well why not? It’s called being in the sweet spot. You call all the shots. Including working when in the right frame of mind. Such a condition enhances the probability of success.
When will I be conducting the due due-diligence?
When would that be?
Whenever it happens naturally, without artificial pressure.
Am I just born lucky, to be in a position to work when I want?
Well, I’ve definitely had my share of great luck, and continue to have it, by the grace of Nature. On the other hand, and to put things in perspective, I also have, over the last twelve years, worked hard to create a situation for myself where I only invest when I wish to. There’s no pressure on me to invest. My bread and butter isn’t dependent on it. I call it being in the sweet spot.
Work towards your sweet spot.